Fed’s Favored Inflation Gauge Likely Stalled
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Fed, Trump and Jerome Powell
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What is clear is that the current 4.33% median Fed funds target rate remains well above the inflation trend. Even after the acceleration in consumer prices in June, the policy rate is roughly 1.4 percentage points above headline CPI’s one-year change – close to the biggest gap post-pandemic.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the consumer price index (CPI), a popular inflation gauge, increased in June to 2.7% on an annual basis as prices rose for consumers.
Key Takeaways Inflation rose in June, moving further from the Federal Reserve's goal of 2% each year.This flare of inflation will likely discourage the Fed from cutting its influential interest rate later this month.
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Gary Cohn, IBM vice chairman and former National Economic Council Director under President Trump, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, June's CPI data, President Trump's tariff agenda,
A new report shows inflation has picked up and analysts believe the prices of many goods increased, in part, because of President Trump’s tariffs. It will play into decisions by the Federal Reserve about when and whether to cut interest rates and comes as the president and his team have ramped up their pressure campaign on Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Where’s all the inflation from the Trump trade wars? So far, the evidence really hasn’t shown up — but many economists say it’s coming soon, perhaps as soon as this week.
The Indian rupee fell on Wednesday as the latest U.S. inflation report showed that tariffs were beginning to feed into prices, weakening bets on rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which lifted U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar.
Inflation is up, stocks are down, and more tariffs are on their way. Trump wants interest rates to come down but the direction of travel is making it less likely that the Fed will deliver the cuts he wants. It’s not clear whether Trump can extract himself from the policy cycle he has created.